Wednesday, October 7, 2015

From the Cheap Seats (Online): Iowa? Soft Schedule? You Really Aren't Watching The Games

 I have to admit, I like college football like most.  However, I really do not get too worked up about the non-conference part of the season.  That means, that I normally do not get to a 'can't miss' Saturday on the couch until either the last weekend in September or the first weekend of October.      One thing is constant though, critics.  I have heard from many of folks and have even seen a weekly columnist at a newspaper near Tipton say that Iowa has played a 'Soft' schedule in the non-conference.
 That begs the question, how do you determine who has played a good schedule?  Is it by wins?  By what conference certain teams are in?  By who you would RATHER your team play?  
  When I hear these comments I get a little upset.  They usually come from people with no perspective.  I offer that perspective below.
  Check this out.  Here is a list of Big Ten football schedules for the 2015 non-conference, the result (W/L), location (home or away) and the conference their opponents play in.
  The Big Ten Conference recently came out with a preference that their schools stop scheduling Football Subdivision teams.  This year, like the next couple, that will be hard as schools already have contracts.  However, the message is clear though.  Take a look at who played who in this non-conference season:

Big Ten School             Result       Home/Away  Opponent                Opponent's Conference
Illinois
September 5                   W             Home           Kent State                 MAC
September 12                 W             Home           Western Illinois        Football Subdivision
September 19                  L             Away            North Carolina         ACC
September 26                  W            Home           Middle Tenn. State   Conference USA

Indiana
September 5                    W            Home           Southern Illinois        Football Subdivision
September 12                  W            Home           Florida I'ntl.               Sun Belt?
September 19                  W            Home           W. Kentucky             Conference USA
September 26                  W            Away           Wake Forest               ACC

Iowa
September 5                    W            Home           Illinois State               Football Subdivision
September 12                  W            Away           Iowa State                   Big 12
September 19                  W            Home           Pittsburgh                   ACC
September 26                  W            Home           North Texas                Conference USA

Maryland 
September 5                    W           Home            Richmond                    Football Subdivision
September 12                  L            Home            Bowling Green            MAC
September 19                  W           Home            South Florida              American Athletic Conf.
September 26                  L            Home            West Virginia              Big 12

Michigan
September 3                    L            Away             Utah                            Pac-12
September 12                  W          Home              Oregon State              Pac-12
September 19                  W          Home              UNLV                        Mountain West?
September 26                  W          Home              BYU                           Independent

Michigan State
September 4                     W         Away              Western Michigan       MAC
September 12                   W         Home              Oregon                        Pac-12
September 19                   W         Home              Air Force                     Mountain West
September 26                   W         Home              Central Michigan        MAC

Minnesota
September 3                     L          Home               TCU                            Big 12
September 12                   W         Away               Colorado State            Mountain West
September 19                   W         Home               Kent State                   MAC
September 26                   W         Home               Ohio                            MAC

Nebraska 
September 5                     L          Home                BYU                           Independent
September 12                   W         Home                South Alabama           Sun Belt
September 19                   L          Away                 Miami (FL)                ACC
September 26                   W         Home                Southern Mississippi   Conference USA 

Northwestern
September 5                     W         Home                Stanford                      Pac-12
September 12                   W         Home                Eastern Illinois           Football Subdivision
September 19                   W         Away                Duke                            ACC
September 26                   W        Home                 Ball State                     MAC

Ohio State 
September 7                     W         Away                Virginia Tech              ACC
September 12                   W         Home                Hawaii                        Mountain West
September 19                   W         Home                Northern Illinois         MAC
September 26                   W         Home                Western Michigan      MAC

Penn State 
September 5                     L          Away                 Temple                         American Athletic Conf.
September 12                   W        Home                  Buffalo                        MAC
September 26                   W        Home                  San Diego State          Mountain West
October 3                         W         Home                  Army                          Independent

Purdue
September 6                     L          Away                  Marshall                      Conference USA
September 12                   W         Home                 Indiana State                Football Subdivision
September 19                   L          Home                  Virginia Tech              ACC
September 26                   L          Home                  Bowling Green            MAC

Rutgers
September 5                     W         Home                  Norfolk State               Football Subdivision
September 12                   L          Away                   Washington State        Pac-12
September 26                   W         Away                  Kansas                         Big 12
November 21                   TBD     Away                  Army                           Independent

Wisconsin 
September 5                     L          Away                   Alabama                     SEC
September 12                   W         Home                   Miami (OH)               MAC
September 19                   W         Home                   Troy                           Sun Belt 
September 26                   W         Home                   Hawaii                       Mountain West          

 Division 1 College Football forever changed when they adopted a playoff structure.  Scheduling became more important as well as wins against those teams.  Wins against one of the 'POWER 5' conferences became much more important.
  The 'POWER 5' conferences that I am referring to are - Southeastern Conference (SEC), Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12 and the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC).  From the above, here are the schools that scheduled games against 'POWER 5' teams: 

Illinois - 1
Indiana - 1
Iowa - 2
Maryland - 1
Michigan - 2
Michigan State - 1
Minnesota - 1
Nebraksa - 1
Northwestern - 2
Ohio State - 1
Penn State - 1
Purdue - 1
Rutgers - 2
Wisconsin - 1

So, Iowa, Michigan, Northwestern and Rutgers, or 4 of the 14 Big 10 schools scheduled more than one team from the 'POWER 5' conferences this non-conference season.  
 Now, how did these teams to against their two opponents?  Iowa 2-0, Northwestern 2-0, Michigan 1-1 and Rutgers 1-1.
 I would say that seeing who plays teams of their equal or from a similar conference and how they do against those teams, and not a conference out of the 'POWER 5' holds more weight than what teams are actually on a schedule.
 My point is this have an informed opinion.  You can use rankings of opponents, conference bias or who you would rather see your favorite team play, but don't throw things out there that do not make sense.
  Iowa and Northwestern, both ranked teams, out of many Big 10 ranked teams, and are the only two schools that scheduled teams from power conferences and won both of those games.
  To me that says a lot.  For now, you are not going to see many teams with more than two 'POWER 5' games in a given year.  But, that day will be coming.  Until then, it behoves people to get perspective before throwing out claims of strength of schedule. 

Thanks for reading, we'll see you, at the game! 

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